Earlier I pondered on WVU’s personnel. Today – the schedule.
On the week of kickoff the schedule appears to be improved over schedules of the recent past, although it’s not unmanageable. The conference slate is as tough as one thinks the conference is. If you like South Florida’s defensive speed, think that UConn is scrappy and pushes their will of Four Corners on opponents, and believe that Pitt’s stellar recruiting classes will pay off, then you’ll see those seven games as potential landminds. If, on the other hand, you think South Florida’s offense is flaky, UConn is a fluke, and Pitt is underacheiving under the ultimate underacheiving coach, then you will be pissed if WVU is not 7-0 in conference. Non conference wise, Big East member Villanova (OK, basketball only member) is a payday game and Marshall is a forced opponent who is bottoming out at just the wrong time for WVU. East Carolina, while still being ECU, has become a pesky little team to deal with and has become a tougher out than they should be lately. Colorado is still struggling in the weaker division of the Big 12, but they will host WVU in the thinner air. Auburn represents the crown jewel of the home schedule.
Game by game….
Villanova (8/30) – they are supposed to be a nice competitive game in their conference. Problem is, that’s a 1-AA conference and they’re no Appy State.
at ECU (9/6) – the first of two potential trap games non-conference wise. Skip Holtz has made ECU into a noisy little yap-dog of a team. They return a shifty QB of their own in Patrick Pinkney to run the spread, but the question will be who steps up to help him after losing some good talent skill wise. Defensively the line and backers are solid, but the secondary can be a sieve. Since WVU is breaking in some new offensive schemes, signals, etc., it would have been nice for this game to be at home. However, if the expectation is to be a player on the national scene then this should be a win. Period.
at Colorado (9/18) – the second straight trap game. They’re expected to be an average Big 12 North team, which means not any good. Playing in Boulder on a Thursday night can only help Colorado, giving WVU a second straight electric enviroment in which they need to take care of business. Pouring the points on before the thin air kicks in would be a good strategy. Like ECU, this is a game WVU expect to win even with the new kinks.
Marshall (9/27) – this isn’t your older brother’s Blundering Nerds. Pruett, Pennington, Bradshaw, Moss, Leftwich – all gone. The annual Welfare Bowl may mean more money in Huntingon Community College’s pockets, but that’s all they’re bringing back from Morgantown…that and another bad loss, of course.
Rutgers (10/4) – a young defense and an offense without RB Ray Rice means that Mike Teel’s arm will have to carry this team, and to date this has been a losing proposition.
Syracuse (10/11) – Head Coach Greg Robinson, continually refefining what the bottom of the barrel is in upstate New York. That’s about all that needs said.
Auburn (10/23) – the non conference game that is circled on numerous calendars. If WVU has national expectations, this Thursday night home showcase game is a must-win. It won’t be easy, with Auburn returning a nasty defensive unit. The offense is a work in progress with a conversion to a spread of their own. This game is not unwinnable, but to be considered a contender this is the time where the Mountaineers must shine.
at Connecticut (11/1) – win or lose against Auburn, refocus is necessary to close out the year strong. Lose against Auburn and this could be a hangover game. Beat Auburn, then make sure to be ready for the home stretch. Connecticut alone does not have the firepower nor defense to be on the same field as WVU, so the only way this game is lost is if the Mountaineers let themselves lose.
Cincinnati (11/8) – Ben Mauk was denied a medial sixth year earlier this summer, and the remaining quarterbacks are not overwhelming. The defense is good, but that won’t matter when they can’t score points.
at Louisville (11/22) – the first “sneaky” game since the leaves were still green. Louisville is a difficult team to gage. On one hand, they have a lot of individual talent. Brohm is gone, but Hunter Cantwell is already proven as a QB. They still have offensive and defensive playmakers. On the other hand, there was a full blown revolution from the players against new coach Steve Kragthorpe last year, and some of the Petrino-era recruits are living down to the prior coach’s character with some dismissals this spring & summer. Still, Louisville has been one of the tough conference games year after year and to overlook them in late November would be a huge mistake at the Pizza Oven.
at Pitt (11/28) – the bitter taste still lingers. Let’s get two things straight right now: (1) Pitt absolutely won last years game, mainly because Dave Wannstadt outcoached Rod and that’s the embarrassing truth. (2) One game does not a coach make. Just as Stew has to prove that he’s more than the Fiesta Bowl, Wanny needs to show that he’s more of a coach than merely perplexing a stubborn playcaller once. Year after year, the pundits claim that Pitt is stocking themselves full of talent and this will be “the year” when Pitt steps up to be a contender. Year after year, Wanny craps his pants. There’s no one in the Mountaineer locker room that shouldn’t be out for blood this time around.
South Florida (12/6) – blood match #2. In the last four years, WVU has four conference losses, and USF holds two of them back to back. The last time WVU beat the Bulls? The final regular season game before the Sugar Bowl. Both losses had the same culprits at the core – WVU turned the ball over at will in the oncoming rush of a very fast, athletic defense, and injuries to key players. Pat and Steve have missed part of both games, and the resulting offense was even more one dimensional than usual. The players need that same fire here that they use against Pitt, and the training staff needs to bring their “A” game to end this losing streak.
Given all this, how do I call it? I’ve seen Mitch Vingle say this is The Year, that 12-0 is the expected result. Maybe I’ve been a fan too long, but I’m a little cynical. I really, really want to believe that this is the year, but every August I believe that. They’re all winnable games, but if I’m forcing myself to pick one loss it would be the Auburn game. I think they can win it and it wouldn’t surprise me to see them do it, but I just have the feeling that we will drop one this year and Auburn is at least a respectable loss. I see the ECU, Colorado, and Louisville games being a little close for comfort, and if it does follow the loss I expect a first half hangover against UConn before blowing the game wide open in the 3rd quarter. So that gives us an 11-1 record, another conference title, and a BCS date somewhere. Most pundits are putting us in the Orange Bowl against Clemson, and if that’s the case I see our final record at 12-1. That would be a great start to the new era, and hopefully a springboard to keep the momentum going in future seasons.



